One month

One month of war. Iran has endured 393 waves of Israeli attacks. More than 1,900 people have been killed in the country, at least 200 of them children. 82,000 civilian structures damaged or destroyed. 17 Red Crescent bases struck, 94 ambulances hit. And yet, Iran continues firing missiles at Tel Aviv, controlling Hormuz, attacking bases in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Bahrain, and recruiting allies: the Houthis have just entered the war.

An Al Jazeera correspondent in Tehran said "one month in, Iran has proved that its power was underestimated by the enemy, who thought the country would capitulate after just a few days of bombardment and the decapitation of the head of the system". It is an assessment shared, with nuances, by Western analysts. The US Director of National Intelligence said the regime "appears to be intact, although largely degraded". Intact and degraded at the same time.

Iranian politicians are pushing for the country's exit from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). If a country whose nuclear infrastructure has been destroyed decides to leave the legal framework that constrained it, the net result of the war could be exactly the opposite of its stated objective: not a denuclearised Iran, but an Iran with no legal restrictions on nuclearisation. The war began to prevent an Iranian bomb. If it ends with Iran outside the NPT, it will have achieved the contrary.